/* * monty - Hacked-together tool to simulate the Monty Hall problem. Still can't * get my head around it ;) * Copyright (c) 2017 David Phillips * All rights reserved * * Redistribution and use in source and binary forms, with or without * modification, are permitted provided that the following conditions * are met: * 1. Redistributions of source code must retain the above copyright * notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer. * 2. Redistributions in binary form must reproduce the above copyright * notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer in the * documentation and/or other materials provided with the distribution. * * THIS SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED BY THE AUTHOR AND CONTRIBUTORS "AS IS" AND * ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, THE * IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE * ARE DISCLAIMED. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHOR OR CONTRIBUTORS BE LIABLE * FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, OR CONSEQUENTIAL * DAMAGES (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, PROCUREMENT OF SUBSTITUTE GOODS * OR SERVICES; LOSS OF USE, DATA, OR PROFITS; OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION) * HOWEVER CAUSED AND ON ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, STRICT * LIABILITY, OR TORT (INCLUDING NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY * OUT OF THE USE OF THIS SOFTWARE, EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF * SUCH DAMAGE. */ #include #include #include enum Strategy { STRATEGY_STICK, STRATEGY_CHANGE }; unsigned int monty(int door_count, unsigned long plays, enum Strategy strategy) { unsigned int i = 0; unsigned int wins = 0; int prize = -1; int choice = -1; int remain = -1; for (i = 0; i < plays; i++) { prize = rand() % door_count; choice = rand() % door_count; /* Monty shall open all doors except two; the contestant's choice * and pick one door to not open */ if (choice == prize) { /* contestant was originally correct? Pick any other door aside * from their choice to remain. Crude loop strategy, but pseudo- * randomness should help ensure quick termination */ do { remain = rand() % door_count; } while (remain == choice); } else { /* contestant never originally picked prize door; the prize door * remains */ remain = prize; } switch (strategy) { case STRATEGY_STICK: /* stick with current door */ break; case STRATEGY_CHANGE: /* `change` strategy: switch to remaining door */ choice = remain; break; default: return -1; } if (choice == prize) wins++; } return wins; } int main() { double ratio = 0; int runs = 1000000; int wins = 0; int doors = 3; srand(time(NULL)); /* "stick/stay/lazy" strategy */ wins = monty(doors, runs, STRATEGY_STICK); ratio = ((double)wins) / runs; printf("Stick : Won %d of %d (%.5f) success\n", wins, runs, ratio); /* "change" strategy */ wins = monty(doors, runs, STRATEGY_CHANGE); ratio = ((double)wins) / runs; printf("Change: Won %d of %d (%.5f) success\n", wins, runs, ratio); return 0; }